Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000983 0.001061 0.001143 0.001236 0.001340 0.001454 0.001586
2026-01-25 0.001009 0.001138 0.001282 0.001459 0.001670 0.001917 0.002231
2026-02-01 0.000890 0.001030 0.001194 0.001402 0.001662 0.001982 0.002411
2026-02-08 0.000807 0.000953 0.001129 0.001360 0.001660 0.002043 0.002583
2026-02-15 0.000752 0.000904 0.001091 0.001344 0.001683 0.002133 0.002797
2026-02-22 0.000698 0.000851 0.001044 0.001309 0.001676 0.002178 0.002948
2026-03-01 0.000645 0.000795 0.000988 0.001258 0.001640 0.002177 0.003029
2026-03-08 0.000611 0.000762 0.000958 0.001240 0.001646 0.002235 0.003202
2026-03-15 0.000578 0.000728 0.000926 0.001215 0.001641 0.002273 0.003344
2026-03-22 0.000534 0.000677 0.000867 0.001148 0.001568 0.002203 0.003302
2026-03-29 0.000507 0.000648 0.000837 0.001121 0.001552 0.002217 0.003401
2026-04-05 0.000497 0.000642 0.000839 0.001140 0.001607 0.002348 0.003718
2026-04-12 0.000478 0.000624 0.000826 0.001140 0.001640 0.002458 0.004036
2026-04-19 0.000515 0.000687 0.000935 0.001334 0.002006 0.003185 0.005690
2026-04-26 0.000482 0.000648 0.000889 0.001283 0.001957 0.003168 0.005828
2026-05-03 0.000456 0.000617 0.000854 0.001246 0.001929 0.003185 0.006044
2026-05-10 0.000438 0.000597 0.000833 0.001232 0.001939 0.003277 0.006450
2026-05-17 0.000417 0.000572 0.000804 0.001201 0.001917 0.003301 0.006699
2026-05-24 0.000394 0.000543 0.000768 0.001155 0.001864 0.003255 0.006765
2026-05-31 0.000379 0.000526 0.000749 0.001139 0.001863 0.003320 0.007132
2026-06-07 0.000364 0.000508 0.000728 0.001117 0.001850 0.003355 0.007426
2026-06-14 0.000342 0.000478 0.000687 0.001057 0.001760 0.003214 0.007199
2026-06-21 0.000328 0.000461 0.000666 0.001033 0.001736 0.003219 0.007400